Hi, I am coming up for a week on Sat. I hear lots of reports on a tropical storm. Could anyone in Panama City tell me what the weather is saying there? I didn't know if I should cancel or not? If anyone could tell me what the weather situation there should be like next week would be GREAT! Thanks!

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED JUN 8 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING
BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWARD. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY. EVEN IF THE
SYSTEM DOES NOT DEVELOP...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
AFFECTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

I'm not sure this is worth cancelling a trip for. The Gulf of Mexico is huge and IF this actually develops it could go anywhere. Hope to see ya.

shouldn't our weatherman, Wayne get in here to post on this topic?
Wayne? where are ya?

Here's a quick note from Wayne (he had trouble logging in... but he'll be on here soon!)



Saturday is our worst day (tstms and high

seas...SURF'S UP!) with ts arlene making landfall near New Orleans Sat morn.

we'll see windows of sunshine late saturday and be partly cloudy overnight.

The rest of the week looks good. highs in the mid 80's, ocnl afternoon tstms

INLAND.



Wayne I. Gentry

Staff Meteorologist & Local News Producer

Tourist Network

It looks like the whole thing will be blown outa here by Sunday AM. Great time to check the beach for seashells after the surf settles down. That's where I'll be.

Should be great weather the rest of your vacation!

OK Everybody, here's the way the weather looks for the duration (through Sat Night):

TS Arlene is expected to make landfall (as a Tropical Storm ((max wind less than 73 mph)), NOT Hurricane) near Gulfport MS Saturday evening / night. We are in the right front quadrant relative to the storm's NNW movement. This means we are in the most volatile area for high winds blowing onshore. We can expect to see wind speeds in the 30mph range with occasional gusts into the 40s and (rare) low 50s by mid morning Saturday into Saturday night.

HIGH SEAS AND TIDES---The fact that the flow is onshore will compound the problem of high seas. High tides will occur between 12:30PM and 2:00PM on Saturday. That combined with a 2ft storm surge (pressure swell) PLUS 7 to 10 foot (higher on western beaches in Walton and Okaloosa counties) waves generated by high winds will result in SEAS 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL SEA LEVEL. This is significant for BOTH beach front and bay front property as some docks may be submerged...all boat owners should allow for high water.
I KNOW IT LOOKS LIKE FUN...STAY OUT OF THE WATER!!!!!

SEVERE WEATHER----- Rain showers and thunderstorms will be with us beginning in earnest Friday evening and lasting through Saturday evening. There is a possibility of severe weather in the form of gusty surface winds and tornadoes / waterspouts. While these tornadoes and waterspouts are normally much weaker than those produced in land based storms, they can still be strong enough to do significant damage. HEED ALL WARNINGS!

RAINFALL / FLOODING---Rainfall totals for this episode will be 3 to 5 inches for most areas, but there will be some localized areas that will see as much as 10 inches. This is due to what is called "training". With winds out of the south there is a possibility that some areas will have cell after cell, one behind the other, moving over from south to north resulting in localized flooding. "Where?" I hear you ask... Impossible to tell at this time.

Everything should start to deCrease in intensity and frequency Saturday night and we'll see the sun by late Sunday afternoon, high 86. The following week is back to normal: Mostly sunny, lows in lower 70's, highs in the upper 80's with afternoon t'storms inland each day.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thanks Wayne! That's great info!

Looks like it will make for a wet weekend, but there shouldn't be any serious damage to the Beaches (fingers crossed!).

Who needs Jim Cantore over in Pensacola? I'll just tune Beach TV and check in with Wayne.

Well... it hasn't been much of a storm for PCB. We've seen only the occassional round of wind gusts, a little rain and a relatively non-existant storm surge.

I think the worst has passed our area. I'm sure Pensacola, Destin and our nieghbors to the West are faring well, too... although their weather is probably a little worse than ours.

All in all, Arlene's been a mild storm. Hopefully it will be the ONLY storm this year.

See everyone at the Beach!

You can actually see some people on the Beach on the Schooners Sunset Live Cam. The waves are big and the water is currently 30-40 yards further in the Beach than normal. Still relatively mild, though. There probably hasn't been much Beach erosion. Looks like there may be a little seaweed and debris washed onshore... which indicates the water may have gotten as far as the debris line (see photo)

Panama City Beach Live Cams

Also, Spinnaker's Beach Cam shows a pretty good picture.

Attached Thumbnails

 

We are suppose to be down on Friday morning, should I wait until Saturday to come and just make it a day longer next week instead of spending the money on a room just to sit in it while its raining....We will be in Fri to Tue I just want to get the most for my money and really just to be able to sit on the beach and enjoy it...Help!